StockTouch Blog

Chinese PMI hits 5 month high

July 26, 2012 by Peter

At Stocktouch we like to straddle the fence in regards to our outlook on the global markets. Being a good blend of optimist and pessimist, which hopefully makes for good reading. So our optimist side was delighted when a decent bit of good news came in an otherwise sea of bad news for global growth.  Chinese PMI hit a 5-month high in July although it’s still in contraction range (via Markit):

“The HSBC Flash China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index™ (PMI™) is published on a monthly basis approximately one week before final PMI data are released, making the HSBC PMI the earliest available indicator of manufacturing sector-operating conditions in China. The estimate is typically based on approximately 85%–90% of total PMI survey responses each month and is designed to provide an accurate indication of the final PMI data.

Commenting on the Flash China Manufacturing PMI survey, Hongbin Qu, Chief Economist, China & CoHead of Asian Economic Research at HSBC said: “July’s headline PMI picked up modestly to a five-month high of 49.5, suggesting that the earlier easing measures are starting to work. That said, the below-50 July reading implied demand still remaining weak and employment under increasing pressure. This calls for more easing efforts to support growth and jobs. We believe the fast falling inflation allows Beijing to do so and a more meaningful improvement of growth is expected in the coming months when these measures fully filter through.”

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